Best bets for Ascot Shergar Cup on Saturday

Top tipster and leading commentator Simon Holt had a fantastic week at Goodwood and is back with a preview of the Shergar Cup card at Ascot.


Racing betting tips: Saturday August 6

1pt win win Value Theory in 1.00 Ascot at 10/1 (bet365)

1pt win win Crazy Luck in 1.35 Ascot at 8/1 (General)

1pt win Manaccan in 2.10 Ascot at 5/1 (General)

1pt win Admiral D in 5.05 Ascot at 100/30 (General)

Sky Bet odds | Paddy Power | Betfair Sportsbook | ITV7


Hayley Turner has enjoyed plenty of success at past Shergar Cups and is fancied to strike again aboard Crazy Luck and Manaccan in consecutive races at Ascot on Saturday.

In the Dubai Duty Free Full Of Surprises Classified Stakes, the Rod Millman-trained CRAZY LUCK looks well worth chancing on a return to seven furlongs after a luckless run at Goodwood last week when she had no run at all from half-way behind Adaay In Asia, and finished pretty much on the bridle in ninth place.

It’s possible that the downhill course didn’t suit Crazy Luck ideally as, with a bit more tactical speed earlier in the race, she might have achieved a better position and, when winning her previous two races at Chester and Newbury, she finished off very strongly.

Successful over seven furlongs on one previous attempt at the distance – at Salisbury as a two-year-old – the selection is quite stoutly bred on the dam side and, still in grand form, could be hard to beat having gone up just 5lb for her two victories.

Next up for Turner is MANACCANthe only three-year-old in the field for the Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash.

This son of Exceed And Excel, a winner over six furlongs at Newmarket last season before finishing fourth in the Cornwallis Stakes, looks pretty useful but, despite a favorable low draw at Chester last time, didn’t get the run of things.

Forced to wait for an opening until the home straight that day, Manaccan then showed a willing attitude and a bright turn of foot to move ahead on the far rail but was no match for Look Out Louis (scoring for the third time on the Roodee) who came storming down the middle of the course with an unhindered passage.

Things didn’t work out ideally for Manaccan again in the Palace Of Holyroodhouse Handicap at Royal Ascot previously when he was slightly isolated on the stands side and did a little too much too early before finishing a keeping-on fifth to Latin Lover.

With a slightly more circumspect ride that day, he would have gone very close, and Turner should get a good lead here from the front-running King Of Stars who is drawn in the next-door stall.

earlier, VALUE THEORY looks a promising mount for the excellent Christophe Lemaire in the Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Curtain Raiser Classified Stakes.

Given the conditions of the race whereby all the runners are rated towards the top of the 0-90 bracket, this is a tight affair but the selection seems likely to be suited by Ascot’s stiff mile-and-a-quarter judged on her run behind State Occasion at Goodwood last week.

Caught a little flat-footed approaching the final furlong that day, this daughter of Gleneagles kept going gamely in the closing stages signaling that she may be returning to her best form.

Value Theory started the season off a mark of 96 (which would have been too high for this race) after some bright efforts as a juvenile which included a novice win at Newmarket’s July Course and a third in the Sweet Solera Stakes at the same venue, and she may have been a bit slow to come to hand this term.

Quite stoutly-bred, it was probably a mistake to run her twice at a mile earlier in the campaign and, on the Goodwood effort, she clearly wants more of a test which she should get here.

Lemaire, an exceptional rider in France before emigrating successfully to Japan, can afford to be positive on Value Theory who may well stay further in the future.

Finally, sportinglife.com columnist Richard Fahey can land the closing Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Sprint Handicap with his Irish import ADMIRAL D.

A wide-margin winner of a nursery at Naas for Michael O’Callaghan last October having, earlier in the season, finished midfield in the Windsor Castle Stakes at Royal Ascot, this gelded son of Ardad has certainly not gone backwards for the switch.

At 40/1, Admiral D was hardly disgraced when a staying-on sixth behind Harry Three in hot three-year-old handicap at York in June and then took a big step forward at Newmarket’s July Festival when running on strongly to chase home the front running Lethal Levi.

The winner followed up on the same course a couple of weeks later while fourth-placed Azure Blue also boosted the form when winning over the same course and distance on her next start.

Admiral D went up just 2lb subsequently (whereas Lethal Levi is now 15lb higher) and a reproduction of that effort in the hands of Joanna Mason over this stiffer six furlongs can see him go one better.

Published at 1420 BST on 05/08/22


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